Sunday, October 9, 2011

Bond Spreads suggest BoA is going out of business

It is interesting to note the greatly increasing credit default swaps for Bank of America over the past few weeks. When viewed in a traditional context, the acceleration of the increased spreads suggest that BoA will be out of business somewhere in 2012.

The increased spreads for BoA is noted in a recent WSJ article. The article does not take the next step to compare the spread increase to those of other financial institutions that have required re-organization or cash infusion to remain solvent.

"Bank of America credit default swaps have spiked to 4.60 percentage points this morning, up from 4.40 percentage points Monday. The annual cost of protecting a notional $10 million of the bank's senior bonds against default for five years is now $460,000, suggesting banks are under more pressure than ever and banking events overseas are just one negative force weighing down the sector."

The stock price below $6 is not a good sign either, but not as pertinent as the debt spread situation.

No comments:

Post a Comment